We’re in an Economic Neverland

Dan Steinhart, Managing Editor, The Casey Report, brings us an essay from Bill Bonner:

He’s written a wonderful essay explaining why suppression of interest rates will, without question, wreck the economy.

What I like best about Bill is how he explains things. It’s never some fuzzy academic theory. He draws everything back to the real world.

For instance, Bill doesn’t know if he should invest $400,000 to upgrade some apartments. Sure, it looks like a good idea, but only because borrowing money costs virtually nothing right now. Everything looks like a good investment when you can finance it with free money. That’s the problem.

This piece is from Bonner & Partners Family Office’s Strategic Review, Bill’s premium newsletter. My thanks to them for allowing me to share it for free, exclusively to Casey subscribers.

Bill has much to say, so I’ve split his essay into two parts. Tune in for Part 2 next week.  

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Koos Jansen: China aims to exceed U.S. in gold reserves

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

The president of the China Gold Association, gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen discloses today, argues that China should accumulate gold reserves greater than those of the United States because gold is a strategic asset, money without counterparty risk.

The association's president, Song Xin, adds that a "gold bank" should be established by China "to break the barrier between the commodity and monetary world. It can further help us acquire reserves and give us more say and control in the gold market."

Jansen's report is headlined "China Aims for Official Gold Reserves at 8,500 Tonnes" and it's posted at Bullion Star here:

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Greenspan: Gold is the ultimate money and China well might want more

1000 greenspanGolden Rule: Why Beijing Is Buying

Alan Greenspan, Foreign Affairs, Council on Foreign Relations, New York writes:
Monday, September 29, 2014

If China were to convert a relatively modest part of its $4 trillion foreign exchange reserves into gold, the country's currency could take on unexpected strength in today's international financial system.

It would be a gamble, of course, for China to use part of its reserves to buy enough gold bullion to displace the United States from its position as the world's largest holder of monetary gold. (As of spring 2014, U.S. holdings amounted to $328 billion.) But the penalty for being wrong, in terms of lost interest and the cost of storage, would be modest. For the rest of the world, gold prices would certainly rise, but only during the period of accumulation. They would likely fall back once China reached its goal.

The broader issue -- a return to the gold standard in any form -- is nowhere on anybody's horizon. It has few supporters in today's virtually universal embrace of fiat currencies and floating exchange rates.

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5 Reasons Why Short-Term Municipal Bonds Make Sense Now

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Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer, U.S. Global Investors writes:

Last week Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen insisted that record-low interest rates will stay as they are for a "considerable time." So what does that mean for bond investors? Many people realize that rising interest rates affect yields and prices, but what others might not know is that if you stick closely to short-term, investment-grade debt securities-the very kind our Near-Term Tax Free Fund (NEARX) invests in-the impact of such a rate hike is not as dramatic as some investors might think.

As you can see in the chart below, NEARX has been a steady grower over the years, in times of rising and falling interest rates as well as extreme market downturns. In fact, it's taken nearly a decade and a half for the S&P 500 Index to surpass NEARX using a hypothetical $100,000 investment back in June 2000.

Think of NEARX, then, as the emotionally-stable, no-drama fund.

Near-Term Tax Free Fund vs. S&P 500 Index
click to enlarge

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Gold and Silver Disaggregated COT Report (DCOT) for September 26

CFTC logoHOUSTON – The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) released data for the disaggregated commitments of traders (DCOT) and Legacy “COT” reports for the week ending September 26, 2014.  Our recap of the net positioning for large reporting futures traders is below, compared to the prior week’s data. 

Source: CFTC for COT data, Cash Market for gold and silver prices.  The positioning and price data is as of the close of trade in New York on Tuesday, September 23, 2014.

20140926 DCOT recap

In the DCOT table above a net short position shows as a negative figure in red. A net long position shows in black. In the Change column, a negative number indicates either an increase to an existing net short position or a reduction of a net long position. A black figure in the Change column indicates an increase to an existing long position or a reduction of an existing net short position. The way to think of it is that black figures in the Change column are traders getting “longer” and red figures are traders getting less long or shorter.

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Gold Sentiment – How Bad Is It?

 

20140925popechuDan Popechu After the original drop in gold price from the top of $1,920 per ounce in 2011 to $1,180 per ounce in 2013, gold has started a sideways consolidation triangle pattern. Is this a correction, or is it just a pause within a move that will retrace the whole move since 2009? What does sentiment tell us?

The gold market is a very opaque one and very hard to analyse. The amount of gold exchanging hands outside the markets is enormous. China seems to continue buying in a very discrete way and shows regularly, through speaches but also actions, that it considers gold at the core of its currency war, mainly with the United States. It’s interesting to notice that, recently, on every attack on the gold price to push it down, once the original move stops, almost every time momentum fails to take gold lower. This pattern doesn’t look to me as a correction into a bear market but more as a bottoming formation.

 

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Precipitate Drills Discovery Hole Containing 13.4 g/t Gold Over 5.0 Metres within 18.0 Metres of 4.5 g/t at Ginger Ridge

1000 precipitateVANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwired - Sept. 23, 2014) - Precipitate Gold Corporation (the "Company" or "Precipitate") (TSX VENTURE:PRG) is pleased to announce results for its maiden drill program at the Ginger Ridge Zone within the Company's 100% owned Juan de Herrera project in the Tireo Gold Camp in the Dominican Republic.

The six-hole 1,193 metre ("m") diamond drill program targeted surface geochemical anomalies and near-surface geophysical induced polarization ("IP") anomalies in the central and southern areas of the Ginger Ridge Zone. Drilling succeeded in returning a significant gold discovery hole and identified a new gold-rich VMS system that remains open in all directions. See the attached maps and figures

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Latest HRA Media: Eric Coffin's Interview with The Gold Report - "Can Investors Still Find Tenbaggers?"

The continuing strength of the U.S. dollar is bad news for the price of gold, and Eric Coffin believes that in the short term a price of $1,200/oz is possible, though there is room now for an oversold bounce. This, of course, is bad news for gold miners and explorers. But in this interview with The Gold Report, the publisher of Hard Rock Analyst counsels that even in a bull market, investors are advised to seek out potential tenbaggers, and presents several companies in gold, base metals and uranium with the potential to flourish even in hard times.

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The Gold Report: You told The Gold Report last year you were "neutral" on the state of the U.S. economy. Since then, the headline unemployment number has improved. Even so, asDavid Stockman, former director of the Office of Management and Budget, says, there have been no net new jobs created since July 2000, and jobs paying over $50,000 per year have disappeared by 18,000 per month since 2000. What is your view of the health of the U.S. economy?

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Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Millrock Announces Increase In Non-Brokered Private Placement

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, September 30, 2014- Millrock Resources Inc. (TSXV:MRO) (“Millrock” or the “Company”) reports it has increased the non-brokered private placement announced on September 22, 2014. The Company has received strong interest from parties that, if their subscriptions are accepted in full by Millrock, will become “reporting insiders” as defined under National Instrument 55-104. The financing will now consist of up to 80,000,000 units at a price of $0.05 per unit for gross proceeds of up

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Monday, September 29, 2014

CONSTANTINE INTERSECTS 89 METERS OF 5.0% ZINC, 0.8% COPPER, 21 G/T SILVER AND 0.3 G/T GOLD AT THE PALMER VMS PROJECT, ALASKA

Vancouver, BC – Constantine Metal Resources Ltd. (TSX Venture – CEM) (Constantine or the Company) is pleased to provide an update on the 10,000 meter drill program on the Palmer VMS Project, Alaska (“Palmer” or “Project”) that is host to a 4.75 million tonne inferred resource estimate grading 1.84% copper, 4.57% zinc, 0.28 g/t gold and 29 g/t silver*. Step-out drilling continues to make important expansions to the South Wall Zone (“South Wall”) both laterally and to

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Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Real Reason Venezuela Repatriated its Gold

GGR Comment: In our opinion an example of the real reason Venezuela repatriated its gold back to Caracas is the story below and many more like it that will be coming at them from the ICSID. Chavez didn’t want his gold confiscated by an international tribunal to pay aggrieved companies, after he expropriated these companies’ Venezuela assets and businesses. Gold Reserve says awarded $740.3 mln in Venezuela Brisas arbitration (Reuters) - The International Centre for Settlement of

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Precipitate Drills Discovery Hole Containing 13.4 g/t Gold Over 5.0 Metres within 18.0 Metres of 4.5 g/t at Ginger Ridge

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA--(Marketwired - Sept. 23, 2014) -Precipitate Gold Corporation(the Company or Precipitate) (TSX VENTURE:PRG) is pleased to announce results for its maiden drill program at the Ginger Ridge Zone within the Companys 100% owned Juan de Herrera project in the Tireo Gold Camp in the Dominican Republic. The six-hole 1,193 metre (m) diamond drill program targeted surface geochemical anomalies and near-surface geophysical induced polarization (IP) anomalies in the central and southern areas of the Ginger Ridge

Continue reading "Precipitate Drills Discovery Hole Containing 13.4 g/t Gold Over 5.0 Metres within 18.0 Metres of 4.5 g/t at Ginger Ridge" »

Monday, September 22, 2014

They Do Ring A Bell At The Top: Alibaba Proves Wall Street Is Off Its Rocker

David Stockman writes: They do ring a bell at the top. On Friday Alibaba gained $65 billion of market capin 5 minutes! And that was on top of the $170 billion IPO price—-a valuation that was not all that shabby to begin with. In fact, BABAweighed in for the opening bellat 20X its$8.6 billion in sales. My Alibaba US $2.5-10 /Piece( FOB Price) 800 Pieces(Min. Order) 30000 Piece/Pieces per Month(Supply capacity) Well,the above red hotmultiple was not

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Columbus Gold Places 9.9% Stake with Prominent US Investor in Amended PP

Vancouver, BC, Canada, September 22, 2014. Columbus Gold Corporation (CGT: TSX-V, CBGDF: OTCQX)is pleased to announce that a prominent US resource investor has agreed to acquire approximately 9.9% of Columbus Gold, representing the entire private placement on amended terms from those announced on September 2, 2014, which include a reduction in the size and price of the offering. Overall, the amended placement is more favourable to Columbus Gold and its shareholders by eliminating the dilutive warrant component,

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Millrock Announces Financing and Share Consolidation

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, September 22, 2014- Millrock Resources Inc. (TSXV:MRO) (“Millrock” or the “Company”) announces that it plans to raise gross proceeds of up to $3,500,000 through the sale of 70,000,000 units (the “Units”) priced at $0.05 per Unit. Each Unit consists of one common share and one share purchase warrant (the “Warrants”), with each Warrant entitling the holder thereof to purchase one additional common share at a price of $0.07 per share for a period of

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The Tribute the World Pays to the Empire

International monetary reserves set a new high mark early this month: they now amount to a bit more that $12,000,000,000,000 dollars. ($12 trillion dollars, when we calculate the value of all the reserves in dollars. The largest part of reserves is in dollars; the rest is split up into euros, pounds sterling, yen and Swiss francs.) What does this colossal number mean? Reserves measure the quantity ofcreditwhich the exporting countries of the world have granted to countries

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Sunday, September 21, 2014

A Few Silver Related Graphs

Any serious silver investor knows that there was an attempt to break silver down through its implied support on Friday, Sep 19. In short term tick charts the sell raid took on a look something like this. Take a look at the COMEX open interest graph for silver futures below.The Key point here is that there is an extremely high open interest at the same time that silver is probing its implied lows. In essence there is

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Saturday, September 20, 2014

Chinese Gold Demand 41t in week 37, 1331t YTD

The Shanghai International Gold Exchange Is Launched! Koos Jansen is an intrepid observer of the precious metals biz, especiallyin Asia. He writes: Where to begin. Much has happened this week in the Chinese gold market; on wednesday the Shanghai Gold Exchange(SGE) releasedmultiplerule books written in English describing every detail on the workings of the SGEand itsbrand new subsidiary theShanghai International Gold Exchange(SGEI). Finally the world canread everything about the Chinese exchange that is strongestforce in the physical

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Japan government cuts economic view, warns of stalling consumption

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japans government cut its overall economic assessment for the first time in five months as private consumption is struggling to recover from the slump caused by Aprils sales tax hike, clouding the outlook for a sustained recovery. The government on Friday cut its view on private consumption, which accounts for about 60 percent of the economy, saying that consumer spending is seen pausing although a pick-up trend remains intact. The assessment followed a run

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Suchecki - Gold Bottoming?

The Perth Mints Bron Suchecki wrote on the 18th: This morning I recorded an interview with Al Korelin for his weekend show which should be up Saturday US time. Al talked about how bad the sentiment was in the gold market right now, the worst he has ever seen, and Id have to agree.

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Eric Sprott: Get Your Money ‘Out of Banks and into Something Tangible’

Henry Bonner in a recent call with Eric Sprott, founder of Sprott Inc., he said he was still buying physical gold -and planned to keep buying it for as long as he could. The gold shortage that he talked aboutin our May interviewis still there, and economically, things aren’t getting better. “When people finally decide they want to buy gold, there probably won’t be any gold,” he explained.

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Friday, September 19, 2014

True Gold receives all permits for the Karma Gold Project

VANCOUVER, B.C. – True Gold Mining Inc. (TSX-V; TGM) (“True Gold” or the “Company”) is pleased to report that the Burkina Faso Council of Ministers has approved the issuance of exploitation permits (equivalent to mining permits) for the Kao and Nami deposits at the Karma Gold Project. The Kao and Nami exploitation permits are extensions of the existing Karma Exploitation Permit received in January, 2014, which includes the development of the Goulagou I, Goulagou II and Rambo

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Thursday, September 18, 2014

Bayfield Ventures Rainy River Gold-Silver Project Drill Program Begins in NW Ontario

Vancouver, BC - Bayfield Ventures Corp. (TSX-V:BYV)(OTC Pink:BYVVF) (Frankfurt:B4N) is pleased to announce that its drill program has commenced on its Rainy River gold-silver project in north-western Ontario. Bayfields flagship Burns Block property is surrounded by New Golds (TSX: NGD) Rainy River project and adjoins the immediate east of New Golds multi-million ounce ODM17 gold-silver deposit and adjoins the immediate west of New Golds expanding Intrepid gold-silver deposit. Rainy River District Gold Zones:http://www.bayfieldventures.com/i/maps/BYV-Burns-Gold-Zones-NOV-2012.jpg The Company will focus

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China opens gold market to foreigners amid price ambition

Thank you GATA for bringing this article to our attention: From Bloomberg: China will give foreign investors direct access to its gold market for the first time today as the biggest-consuming nation seeks to exert more influence over prices while boosting the yuans global use. The Shanghai Gold Exchange will start trading contracts in the citys free-trade zone that will be linked to its domestic spot market and available to about 40 international members including Goldman Sachs

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Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Pilot Gold to be added to the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index

Pilot Gold Inc. (PLG - TSX) (“Pilot Gold” or the “Company”) is pleased to report that as at the close of trading on Friday, September 19, 2014, Pilot Gold will be added to the SP/TSX SmallCap Index. The SP/TSX SmallCap Index serves the dual purpose as a benchmark and as an investable index, and is designed to capture the investment opportunity set for small cap investment managers. Currently there are approximately 210 TSX listed companies which compose

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Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Gartman Letter cites Koos Jansen and Gold Newsletter on Chinese gold demand

GATA shared Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letters, latest: Regarding Chinese gold demand, which we wrote about yesterday, it is open to debate and our old friend, Brien Lundin of the Jefferson Companies in New Orleans, wrote to share his insights. Weve chosen to share them further with our readers, with his approval. Brien wrote: * * * Hi, Dennis: In your letter this morning, you noted that Chinese gold demand was recently reported to be down about

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Doubling Down on Inflation

Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital Inc., writes: Fridaysrelease of disappointing August payroll numbers should have been a jarring wake-up call warning Wall Street that the economy has been treading on thin ice. Instead the alarm clock was stuffed under the pillow and Wall Street kept sleeping. The miss was so epic in fact (the 142,000 jobs created was almost 40% below the consensus estimate) that the top analysts on Wall Street did their best to tell us

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No spoofing (really) Adoption of Rule 575 (“Disruptive Practices Prohibited”)

Effective September 15, 2014, The Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (CME), the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. (CBOT), the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX), and the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX), notified the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of the adoption of Rule 575 (“Disruptive Practices Prohibited”). The Exchanges will also adopt the CME Group Market Regulation Advisory Notice RA1405-5, which provides the text of Rule 575 as well as additional regulatory guidance on

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Monday, September 15, 2014

Koos Jansen: China again buys the dip in gold and silver gets scarcer

Declining gold prices again have pushed demand up on the Shanghai Gold Exchange as China buys the dips, while silver inventories on the Shanghai Futures Exchange continue to fall, gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen reports today. His analysis is posted at Bullion Star here: Chinese Gold Demand 39t In Week 36, YTD 1290t RobustChinese gold demand is keeping up its pace. Chinese wholesale demand, measured bywithdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange vaults, was 39 tonnes

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Ron Paul: Will the Swiss vote to get their gold back?

Our friends at GATA bring us another informative read: Former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul writes today that he hopes that the people of Switzerland vote to repatriate their gold when they hold a referendum on the issue on November 30. Paul argues that approval of the proposal at referendum will repudiate the financial elites behind unlimited government. He writes: The Swiss people appreciate the work their forefathers put into building up large gold reserves, a respected currency,

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Saturday, September 13, 2014

Schiff - Fantasy About US Recovery Is Not Going To Materialize

Peter Schiff slices and dices the popular economic narrative in this brief, but worthy CNBC interview below.

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Pento - Why Goldman Sachs Is Wrong On Gold

More from Michael Pento in a note to KWN...Wall Street powerhouse Goldman Sachs has recently reiterated its negative view on gold, which it has held for the past year. However, it is now doubling down on this view and advising clients to go short the metal. Jeff Currie, head of commodity research at Goldman, wrote, “Our target is really driven by the view that we think that the Fed will ultimately be the dominant force here and

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Managed Money Shorts Silver Futures

This is the graph for theManaged Money shorts only. It goes with a comment in the public forum section of GGR. Comment the chart goes with: http://www.gotgoldreport.com/2014/09/speculator-insurance-shorts-and-swap-dealer-shorts-likely-to-spark-a-counter-rally-in-gold.html#comment-6a0120a6002285970c01b7c6df5fb2970b

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Friday, September 12, 2014

Cashin – Deflation Keeping Central Bankers Up at Night

The CNBC set up for this brief video of Art Cashin of UBS reads: Discussing pressure in the commodity complex, and whether the market is headed into a deflationary cycle, with Art Cashin of UBS, and CNBC's Bob Pisani. CNBC

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Over to you, ECB's Draghi tells euro zone governments...

(Reuters) - European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, fresh from announcing a new batch of stimulus measures a week ago, urged governments to match the ECBs effort with investment and structural reforms to help the flaggingeuro zonegrow. (GGR comment at end.) A day after incoming European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker unveiled his team, Draghi said it may also be useful to have a discussion about the overall fiscal stance of theeuro zonewith a view to raising public

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Koos Jansen -- India's June Gold Import Highest in 12 Months

Koos Jansen is a keen observer of the precious metals biz in Asia. He writes for BullionStar.com. Koos begins: Despite the fact the new Indian government, led by Narandra Modi since May, hasnt lowered the import duties on both gold and silver, Indians keep on buying precious metals. Despite the fact we already knew this, there was less gold being smuggled into the country and more imported through official channels last June; 77 tonnes were gross imported,

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Thursday, September 11, 2014

Draghi Says Government Spending Could Help Eurozone Economy

Jack Ewing reports for The New York Times ... Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, on Thursday stepped up pressure on countries like Italy to improve the climate for business. But he also said there was room for governments to use public spending to reinvigorate the stalled eurozone economy. Speaking in English in Milan, Mr. Draghi both amplified and clarified themes he raised last month during a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., in which

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Belo Sun Closes $6.5 Million Private Placement

TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwired - Sept. 11, 2014) - Belo Sun Mining Corp. (TSX:BSX) (the Company or Belo Sun) has closed its previously announced non-brokered private placement financing (the Offering) of 30,952,381 common shares of the Company (the Common Shares) at a price of$0.21 per Common Share for proceeds to the Company of$6,500,000. Belo Sun intends to use the proceeds of the Offering to advance the feasibility study and installation license application at the Companys Volta Grande project in

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The Original
Vulture Speculator

Trading gold, silver and mining shares since 1980 with a focus on taking advantage of volatility extremes, Gene Arensberg analyses the markets through a basket of technical and fundamental indicators and shares his findings from time to time here at Got Gold Report. Mr. Arensberg has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones MarketWatch, USA Today and dozens of other news organizations.

"I've been a huge fan of Gene and his amazing work for years..."

Brien Lundin, CEO, Jefferson Financial, Host of the annual New Orleans Investment Conference and Publisher of Gold Newsletter


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